Pre-mortem · attack your own plan

Red Team

Stress-test a decision before you commit. List the ways it could fail, rank them by likelihood × impact, name what an adversary would exploit, and set the tripwires to watch.

The decision

Add a way it could fail

Failure modes (5)

View ranked heat →

16
Funding tranche is pulled at the last minute
L 4 × I 4 · Critical
Tripwire: Donor has not confirmed the wire date in writing.
12
Message gets misquoted in the press
L 4 × I 3 · Elevated
Tripwire: No approved statement and Q&A doc circulated to spokespeople.
10
Partner backs out after the announcement
L 2 × I 5 · Elevated
Tripwire: No signed MOU on file 48 hours before the announcement.
6
Internal team not aligned on talking points
L 3 × I 2 · Watch
Tripwire: Briefing not completed and acknowledged by all named contacts.
5
Regulatory filing deadline collides with launch day
L 1 × I 5 · Watch
Tripwire: Compliance has not signed off on the filing calendar.

pre-mortem.record

$ red-team digest "Announce the 80th-anniversary partnership publicly next week"
modes: 5
sha256: 123b0827df05783f4edd8e8b8761e577…46c6b0a8
status: record sealed — re-hash to detect later edits